ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs Ireland

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The real-world event is the ICC Women’s T20 World Cup match between West Indies and Ireland, scheduled for 27 June 2026 at Bristol County Ground. Despite a current crowd-implied probability of 100% YES, recent form suggests this outcome is far from certain. Ireland Women stunned West Indies by just one run via DLS in the Women’s Tri-Series Ireland 2026, storming into second place in the points table[1]. This narrow victory underscores Ireland’s growing competitiveness and ability to challenge stronger sides under pressure, a pattern seen in their three consecutive ODI wins over West Indies earlier this year[7].

Historically, 100% probabilities in women’s T20 World Cup matches have rarely held when a lower-ranked team shows recent dominance. Ireland’s upset of India in a prior World Cup qualifier and their DLS win over West Indies demonstrate they can shift odds dramatically in live markets[9]. Traders should watch for final squad announcements, pitch reports from Bristol, and any injury updates ahead of the 06:30 UTC start[5]. Cricket Ireland’s official channels and ESPN’s live fixtures page are key sources for real-time dependencies[3][4]. Any delay or weather disruption could alter the DLS calculation, directly impacting resolution.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs Ireland across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.