Bitcoin price on June 27?

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The real-world event driving this market is the final closing price of the BTC/USDT pair on Binance at noon Eastern Time on 27 June 2026. With the crowd-implied probability of a price exceeding the specified threshold sitting at just 2%, traders are betting heavily on continued weakness rather than a surge.

Historical patterns suggest this low probability aligns with Bitcoin’s recent trajectory: the asset fell to $59,712 on 26 June 2026, down 1.96% from the previous day and 44.3% from its peak one year ago[3]. Earlier in 2026, prices dipped to $60,074 in February, marking a sustained bear phase after reaching an all-time high of $126,198 in October 2025[1][7]. Comparable cases from past crypto winters show that June often brings further declines, with prices hitting lows near $17,708 in a previous cycle[7], reinforcing the market’s scepticism about a rebound.

Traders should monitor upcoming Federal Reserve announcements on interest rates, scheduled for late June, which could tighten liquidity and pressure risk assets like Bitcoin[4]. Additionally, Michael Saylor’s recent comments on AI-driven capital rotation away from Bitcoin may signal reduced institutional inflows, a key dependency for price recovery[4]. The Binance resolution source will reflect these macro dependencies, making the noon close a critical test of whether buyers can reclaim the $61,500 zone or face further downside[4].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Bitcoin price on June 27? on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.