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What price will Ethereum hit on August 9?

"What price will Ethereum hit on August 9?" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

↑ 1,950 3% ↓ 1,900 2% ↑ 2,050 1% ↓ 1,800 1% Volume: $61K Liquidity: $89K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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What price will Ethereum hit on August 9?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
3% 97% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
3% 97% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
↑ 1,9503%
↓ 1,9002%
↑ 2,0501%
↓ 1,8001%
↑ 2,2500%
↑ 2,2000%
↑ 2,1500%
↑ 2,1000%
↑ 2,0000%
↓ 1,8500%
↓ 1,7500%
↓ 1,7000%
↓ 1,6500%
↓ 1,6000%

Market context

Ethereum is trading around **$1,900–$1,925**, so the market is effectively asking whether price can hold a modest recovery rather than break into a new regime. Recent prints cluster tightly: MetaMask showed **$1,918.90** on 9 August, Twelve Data recorded an intraday **high and close around $1.92K**, and CoinDesk put ETH at **$1,923.78**. That leaves the crowd-implied **0% YES** on a specific August 9 price target looking more like a view that the exact threshold is out of reach than a call on direction, especially since ETH has already spent time near its weekly high around **$1,929.74** and within a relatively narrow band from roughly **$1,846 to $1,930**.[1][2][3][14]

For traders, the main catalysts are the same ones that have been supporting the tape: spot ETF inflows, institutional yield strategies, and any fresh change in staking policy or regulatory tone. CoinStats said those flows were providing structural support on 9 August, while the market was also debating a contentious staking-policy proposal, which could affect sentiment if it shifts expectations for supply dynamics or validator economics.[3] The key line to watch is whether ETH can stay above the **$1,900** area; if it does, price discovery towards **$1,965–$2,000** becomes more plausible, whereas a drop back towards the mid-**$1,800s** would undermine any late-session push on the August 9 settlement level.[3][4]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for What price will Ethereum hit on August 9?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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