Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 9INE (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal 1 match between Inner Circle Esports and 9INE, scheduled for 5:00 AM ET on June 25 in the Super DraculaN Group A. This contest will resolve to Inner Circle Esports if they win, to 9INE if they prevail, and to a 50-50 split if the match is cancelled, tied, or delayed beyond seven days without a winner.

Historical parallels for such a 0% crowd-implied probability on 9INE are rare, as even slumping teams typically retain non-zero market value unless a catastrophic factor exists. In this case, 9INE’s recent form is the defining catalyst: they have a 0.0 winrate over the last month and lost four of their five most recent matches, indicating a severe slump[1]. Conversely, Inner Circle holds a 1-0 head-to-head advantage against 9INE and a 49% winrate over the past half-year, though their own recent form is inconsistent with a 2-3 record in their last five matches[1]. The market’s extreme pricing likely reflects 9INE’s inability to secure a single win recently, compounded by their 60% Ancient winrate being irrelevant if opponents ban the map, whereas Inner Circle’s 64% Dust2 dominance aligns with their frequent first-pick status[1].

Traders must monitor official line-up confirmations and any sudden roster changes, as both teams list five starters but no recent injury or suspension news has been reported[1]. Key dependencies include map veto outcomes, particularly 9INE’s 93% Mirage ban rate versus Inner Circle’s 90% Inferno ban rate, which will dictate map flexibility and potentially expose 9INE’s current fragility[1]. A critical watch is the match start time; if the game begins but is not completed, the resolution rules remain ambiguous, creating a potential settlement risk[4]. No recent news source has updated 9INE’s status beyond their documented slump, suggesting the market’s 0% pricing is a direct reaction to their four-match losing streak rather than a hidden disqualification[1].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.