Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs

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Market context

The underlying event is the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between Inner Circle Esports and Sharks in the Super DraculaN Playoffs, scheduled for 8:00 AM ET on 27 June 2026. This is a Best of 3 series where the market resolves to Inner Circle if they win, or to Sharks if they prevail.

Historical precedents for 0% crowd-implied probabilities in esports often signal either a confirmed forfeit, a severe roster crisis, or a decisive head-to-head deficit that the market has already priced in. Here, Sharks hold a 2–0 head-to-head advantage over Inner Circle from their last meeting on 24 June, where they won 2–0 in the Group A UB Semifinal [1][2]. Inner Circle’s recent form has slumped to 46% win rate last month, down from 55% in the prior half-year, while Sharks enter with a three-match winning streak and superior long-term consistency at 63% win rate [1]. Such a stark disparity in momentum and prior results frequently justifies extreme odds, though the 0% figure remains unusually absolute unless a non-play scenario is confirmed.

Traders should monitor the official map draft announcement, as no map data is currently available [1], and verify whether Inner Circle’s lineup remains intact with starters headtr1ck, cptkurtka023, onic, zeRRoFIX, and Dawy [1]. Any delay beyond seven days from the scheduled date or a cancellation would trigger a 50–50 resolution, per market rules. With the settlement window ending 2026-06-27T19:40:00Z, real-time updates from Strafe or Bo3.gg are critical to confirm if the match proceeds as planned [2].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.