Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Procyon Gaming (-3.5) vs Red Feet (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Red Feet (-3.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: PCY (-1.5) vs Red Feet (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Procyon Gaming (-3.5) vs Red Feet (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Procyon Gaming (-3.5) vs Red Feet (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Procyon Gaming (-6.5) vs Red Feet (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: RF (-1.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Procyon Gaming (-6.5) vs Red Feet (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Procyon Gaming (-6.5) vs Red Feet (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Red Feet (-6.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Red Feet (-3.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Red Feet (-9.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+9.5) | 0% |
Market context
Procyon Gaming, the Argentine squad featuring lenci, pavv, MaxOff, AGL, and next, faces Red Feet in a Best-of-3 Group Stage match at the CCT South America Series 4, scheduled for 15 July. Despite the crowd-implied probability of 0% favouring Procyon, bookmakers and user polls heavily back the home side, with betting sites pricing Procyon at 1.23 and Strafe users allocating 94.5% of votes to their victory [2][6]. This stark divergence between market sentiment and crowd pricing mirrors historical cases where liquidity in niche regional esports events lags behind established form, often creating mispriced opportunities when user sentiment overrides statistical reality.
Procyon enters with a stronger recent record, having secured series wins against GUARA, R2, and MIBR Academy in the prior edition, while Red Feet has won only one of their last five matches and sits lower in the Strafe CS2 World Rankings at #227 compared to Procyon’s #188 [2][4]. Traders should monitor the official tournament feed for any pre-match roster changes or forfeit announcements, as a cancelled match would trigger a 50-50 settlement rather than a decisive outcome [7]. The match begins shortly, and any delay beyond seven days without a winner will also force the fair price resolution, making real-time status updates the primary catalyst for line movement.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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