Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Map Handicap: SAW (-1.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SAW (-3.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SAW (-6.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SAW (-9.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SAW (-3.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SAW (-6.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Esport Academy Copenhagen (-3.5) vs SAW (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Esport Academy Copenhagen (-6.5) vs SAW (+6.5) | 0% |
Market context
SAW’s BO3 against Esport Academy Copenhagen in Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 3 has already been played, and the available match reports show SAW won 2-0 with the same five-man line-up listed across the coverage: MUTiRiS, NOPEEJ, story, ewjerkz and krazy.[1][2][11][16] That matters for reading the market because a 100% implied chance is no longer pricing uncertainty over the result itself; it is effectively treating the match as settled in the sources that recorded it, with SAW also carrying the cleaner recent head-to-head edge at 1-0 in the small sample cited by CS2Bet.[4]
The broader form picture also leaned SAW’s way before the series, even if neither side entered with flawless numbers. Bo3.gg’s match page noted SAW had a strong recent Inferno win rate and a three-match run into the event, while Esport Academy Copenhagen were described as improving recently but still a younger academy roster with less high-level exposure.[2][5][9] The same coverage also highlighted that the sides had not met in the previous six months, so traders had little recent direct evidence beyond the eventual BO3 itself.[3][5]
For live market read-through, the main catalysts were line-up confirmation, map veto information and whether the qualifier schedule stayed on track. Multiple match pages showed identical starting fives for both teams, which reduced the risk of last-minute roster surprises, while the series timing varied slightly across listings but consistently sat on 8 August.[1][2][12][16] Recent event pages also show the match completed inside the quoted settlement window, which makes cancellation or a delayed 50-50 outcome look irrelevant here unless a venue or record-keeping dispute emerged after the fact.[1][10][15]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: SAW vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 3. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade Counter-Strike: SAW vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO… on World Cup 2026 Favorites
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →