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Counter-Strike: Sharks vs ECHO (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "Counter-Strike: Sharks vs ECHO (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $646K Closes: 28 Jun 2026
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Counter-Strike: Sharks vs ECHO (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sharks (-3.5) vs ECHO (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ECHO (-3.5) vs Sharks (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sharks (-3.5) vs ECHO (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ECHO (-3.5) vs Sharks (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Match Winner0%
Map Handicap: SHK (-1.5) vs ECHO (+1.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ECHO (-6.5) vs Sharks (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ECHO (-3.5) vs Sharks (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ECHO (-9.5) vs Sharks (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sharks (-6.5) vs ECHO (+6.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Sharks (-3.5) vs ECHO (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.50%
Map Handicap: ECHO (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sharks (-6.5) vs ECHO (+6.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Sharks (-6.5) vs ECHO (+6.5)0%

Market context

The underlying event is the third-place decider in Counter-Strike’s Super DraculaN Playoffs, where Sharks face ECHO in a best-of-three match scheduled for 9:30AM ET on 28 June. Sharks, a South American squad, recently defeated Eternal Fire 2-0 in the Upper Bracket Quarter-Final, securing their path to the semi-finals before this decider[1][5]. ECHO, meanwhile, advanced from Group B after a competitive run against FOKUS, though their recent form remains less documented than Sharks’[3].

Historically, third-place deciders in CS2 tournaments with a 0% crowd-implied probability for one side often signal a severe mismatch in recent performance or roster stability. In the 2025 Digital Crusade Season 2, a similar 0% probability for a lower-bracket team resolved to the upper-bracket side after a 2-0 victory, mirroring Sharks’ current trajectory against Eternal Fire[1]. Such cases suggest the market is pricing in a near-certain win for the team with superior recent results, unless a sudden roster change or injury occurs.

Traders should monitor pre-match announcements for line-up changes, particularly for ECHO, whose squad has faced minor suspension rumors in the past week. A recent Digital Crusade post confirmed Sharks’ readiness but noted no new injuries for their core players[5]. Any delay beyond 7 days or match cancellation would trigger a 50-50 resolution, but current scheduling indicates the match will proceed as planned[2]. Watch for ECHO’s official roster confirmation before 8AM ET, as late changes could shift the probability significantly.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: Sharks vs ECHO (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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