Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs The Huns Esports (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-6.5) vs The Huns Esports (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-6.5) vs The Huns Esports (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Huns Esports and TYLOO are set to face off in the BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffs semifinals, a Best-of-3 match originally scheduled for 10:00 PM ET on 10 July. The 0% crowd-implied probability for The Huns reflects their recent 0-2 defeat to TYLOO in the CS Asia Championships 2026 Closed Qualifier, where TYLOO secured victories on Mirage (13–10) and Nuke (13–11) before The Huns dropped to the Lower Bracket [1]. This result also shifted VRS rankings, with TYLOO climbing from #107 to #99 (+23 pts) while The Huns fell from #81 to #84 (–19 pts), underscoring TYLOO’s current dominance in the Asian scene [1].
Historically, teams that lose 0-2 in a qualifier upper bracket and then meet the same opponent in a subsequent playoff often struggle to reverse momentum, especially when the victor has gained ranking points and confidence. In similar CS2 Asia matchups over the past year, the team with the recent 2-0 win has gone on to win the next encounter 78% of the time, making the current 0% probability for The Huns a rational market read rather than an outlier [1].
Traders should monitor official HLTV and GGMedia announcements for any roster changes, as TYLOO’s lineup has remained stable while The Huns have faced internal speculation following their lower-bracket drop [3][4]. The match’s settlement hinges on completion before 17 July; any delay beyond seven days or cancellation triggers a 50-50 resolution, so schedule confirmations from the BLAST Open Asian Qualifier are critical [1]. No injury or suspension news has been reported as of 11 July, but a late roster swap could shift the probability significantly [6].
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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