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Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Wildcard (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters FML Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Wildcard (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters FML Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 2 Winner 75% Match Winner 75% Map 1 Winner 65% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $162K Liquidity: $30K Closes: 28 Sept 2026
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Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Wildcard (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters FML Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner75%
Match Winner75%
Map 1 Winner65%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-3.5) vs Wildcard (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-3.5) vs Wildcard (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)47%

Market context

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Wildcard (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters FML Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 75%. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between Liquid and Wildcard in the iBUYPOWER Masters FML Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET. This market wil…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Wildcard (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters FML Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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