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Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs

"Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 62% Ends in Daytime 52% Ends in Daytime 52% Ends in Daytime 52% Volume: $2.3M Liquidity: $1.7M Closes: 21 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
62% 38% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
62% 38% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?62%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
First Blood in Game 1?52%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?51%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
Game 1 Winner46%
Game 2 Winner46%
Both Teams Beat Roshan45%
Match Winner41%
Both Teams Beat Roshan37%
Both Teams Beat Roshan36%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks35%
Any Player Ultra Kill35%
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Iron Wing (+1.5)30%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks27%
Any Player Ultra Kill27%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks27%
Any Player Ultra Kill26%
Game Handicap: IW (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)24%
Any Player Rampage19%
Any Player Rampage14%
Any Player Rampage14%

Market context

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 62%. This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket round 1 match between Iron Wing and BoomBoys in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market will…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
and

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