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Dota 2: Level UP vs RE.Arise (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B

Football snapshot for "Dota 2: Level UP vs RE.Arise (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Game Handicap: LVLUP (-1.5) vs RE.Arise (+1.5) 100% Volume: $82K Liquidity: $366K Closes: 6 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Level UP vs RE.Arise (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Game Handicap: LVLUP (-1.5) vs RE.Arise (+1.5)100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
Ends in Daytime91%
Both Teams Beat Roshan90%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%

Market context

Level UP meet RE.Arise in a best-of-three EPL Masters Group B series, and the market’s 100% YES pricing reflects a clear favourite rather than a settled result. Level UP arrive with the stronger recent body of work: bo3.gg lists a 73% win rate over the past half-year, a recent EPL Season 39 title run, and an AI projection of a 71% win chance with a 2-0 scoreline, while also noting two straight losses in their latest matches as a short-term drag on momentum.[1] RE.Arise have been more uneven, but they have still taken wins in recent series and remain capable of taking maps when draft conditions suit them.[1][4]

The historical frame is thin but useful: the teams have no meeting in the last six months, and one source says they have not played each other at all in the current rosters, while another notes a 1-1 split when those line-ups did meet.[1][15] That makes the current probability read more as a form and roster-stability signal than a head-to-head signal. Strafe ranks Level UP at #28 and says both sides have won three of their last five, which supports the view that this is not a mismatch so much as a match where Level UP’s higher ceiling and cleaner recent results are doing the work in the market.[8]

For traders, the key catalysts are whether the listed starters actually appear unchanged and whether the series starts on schedule, as Dota markets are sensitive to late stand-ins, administrative delays, and map forfeits. The published line-ups show Level UP with queezy, WoE, bb3px, Ainkrad and Htrd, and RE.Arise with waveformn, yowaai, Ethereal, ani-san and Ankou, but roster pages also flag recent squad churn on both sides, which can matter more than raw record in a BO3 draft environment.[1][15] Sofascore and related listings place the match at 09:00 UTC on 6 August, so any timetable slip or substitution news before that window would be the main thing moving the price.[2][13]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Level UP vs RE.Arise (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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