Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Platform comparison

Market context

Team Liquid face Team Yandex in a best-of-three Dota 2 encounter during The International group stage on 13 August 2026. The match begins at 22:00 ET and concludes by the settlement window at 08:00 UTC on 14 August. A 100% crowd probability suggests near-certainty in the market's assessment, though such extremes typically reflect either overwhelming favouritism toward one side or sparse liquidity rather than genuine certainty.

Liquid's historical dominance in International tournaments provides context for the current pricing. The organisation has finished top-four at six of the past eight Internationals, with multiple championship runs and consistent qualification from group stages. Yandex, by contrast, represents a newer competitive entity in the post-CIS restructuring era, with limited track record against tier-one opposition at Valve's flagship event. Head-to-head records between these rosters remain sparse given Yandex's recent formation, making direct comparison difficult; however, Liquid's pedigree in high-stakes elimination formats historically translates to superior performance when stakes escalate beyond regular-season play.

Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions through early August, as visa complications and player availability have disrupted International preparations in previous years. Schedule dependencies matter here—if either team faces unexpected postponement in earlier group matches, fatigue or preparation time could shift the dynamic. Recent patch notes released before the event window may also favour one team's hero pool or playstyle over the other. Any official announcement regarding format changes or match rescheduling would reset the 168-hour delay clock from the original 13 August start time.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?

Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.