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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Game 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Ends in Daytime 100% Both Teams Destroy Barracks 100% Volume: $3.9M Liquidity: $978K Closes: 18 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?96%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?91%
Both Teams Beat Roshan75%
First Blood in Game 1?62%
Match Winner54%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Any Player Rampage49%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Both Teams Beat Roshan5%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks1%
Ends in Daytime1%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)0%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?0%
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)0%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 0% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-07-18T19:50:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

World-affairs prediction markets price discrete geopolitical outcomes — ceasefires, treaty signings, leadership transitions — and tend to drift on rumour and snap-correct on official announcements.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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