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LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Match Winner 80% Game 1 Winner 73% Game 2 Winner 72% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 64% Volume: $108K Liquidity: $437K Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
80% 20% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
80% 20% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner80%
Game 1 Winner73%
Game 2 Winner72%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon62%
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)55%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?54%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?54%
First Blood in Game 1?52%
First Blood in Game 2?52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Any Player Penta Kill44%
Any Player Penta Kill44%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor43%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors43%
Any Player Quadra Kill43%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor43%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors43%
Any Player Quadra Kill43%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?42%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?40%
O/U 2.5 Games39%

Market context

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 80%. This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 2 match between Anyone's Legend and Karmine Corp in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 17 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve t…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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