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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Game 2 Winner 100% Game 3 Winner 100% O/U 3.5 Games 100% O/U 4.5 Games 100% Volume: $19.4M Liquidity: $2.1M Closes: 12 Jul 2026
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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
Game 3 Winner100%
O/U 3.5 Games100%
O/U 4.5 Games100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?100%
First Blood in Game 3?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?100%
First Blood in Game 5?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 5?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5?100%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 4?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 4?100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Odd/Even Total Kills90%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 4 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)0%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+2.5)0%
First Blood in Game 1?0%
First Blood in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?0%
First Blood in Game 4?0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?0%
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)0%
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)0%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 3?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 3?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 4?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 4?0%

Market context

The LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Bilibili Gaming and Hanwha Life Esports in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 12 at 4:00AM ET. This market will…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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