Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% Dplus KIA | 100% Cloud9 |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 90% YES | 10% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 90% YES | 10% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 90% YES | 10% NO |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 10% YES | 90% NO |
Market context
This market covers the League of Legends match between Dplus KIA and Cloud9 in the Cross Regional Group Stage, scheduled for 12:00 UTC on 27 June 2026. Dplus KIA enters with superior momentum, having won four of their last five matches and holding the #59 spot in the Strafe LoL World Rankings, whereas Cloud9 has secured only one victory in their last five and sits at #79. Strafe users overwhelmingly favour Dplus KIA, predicting an 87.3% win probability, while bookmakers price them at 1.21 odds, reflecting a clear disparity in current form.
Historical precedents from similar cross-regional clashes, such as DWG KIA’s 2021 World Championship victory over Cloud9, show that top-tier Korean squads typically dominate North American counterparts when line-ups are stable and form is strong. This is the first time these two teams have met, removing any head-to-head bias, yet the form gap mirrors past scenarios where the higher-ranked team resolved the market decisively. The current 0% crowd-implied probability for Cloud9 aligns with these comparable cases, where the weaker side rarely overcomes such a rankings and form deficit without external catalysts.
Traders should monitor official roster announcements and any injury updates before the match, as sudden line-up changes could shift the probability. Cloud9’s recent struggles in the LCS Spring Split, despite a 7-0 finish, may indicate deeper issues in cross-regional adaptability. A recent Strafe report confirms Dplus KIA’s dominance, but any delay beyond seven days or match cancellation would reset the market to 50-50, a dependency worth noting. No suspensions or injuries have been reported yet, but real-time feeds on EGamersWorld and Sofascore remain critical for last-minute developments.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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