Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 100% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 100% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% |
Market context
The League of Legends match between DN SOOPers and KT Rolster in the KeSPA Cup 2026 Group Stage has already concluded, with KT Rolster securing a 1–0 victory in the Best of 1 fixture on 20 July 2026 [1][2]. The market’s current 0% YES probability for DN SOOPers aligns with the final result, as the game ended before the settlement window closed, rendering the outcome definitive rather than speculative [3].
Historically, KT Rolster dominates this head-to-head, having won six of their eight prior encounters, including a 2–0 sweep in the most recent LCK 2026 meeting on 30 May 2026 [3][5]. Although DN SOOPers previously claimed a 2–0 win in the 2026 LCK Cup, that success in a longer series contrasts sharply with their inability to win even a single game in the BO1 format of this KeSPA Cup match [4][6]. In single-game formats, draft variance and early objective control often override historical series dominance, yet KT’s superior world ranking (#6 versus #150) and recent form proved decisive here [1][5].
Traders should note that no further catalysts exist for this market, as the match is finished and the result is confirmed across multiple live-score platforms [1][2]. Any future announcements regarding roster changes, suspensions, or injuries for either team will not affect this settled outcome. The settlement window ending 2026-07-20T16:35:00Z has already passed, confirming the market’s resolution to KT Rolster with no possibility of cancellation, tie, or delay adjustments [3].
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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