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LoL: Fluxo W7M vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Football snapshot for "LoL: Fluxo W7M vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5) 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Odd/Even Total Kills 100% First Blood in Game 2? 100% Volume: $317K Liquidity: $731K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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LoL: Fluxo W7M vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
First Blood in Game 2?100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Odd/Even Total Kills90%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 2?10%
Any Player Penta Kill1%
Any Player Penta Kill1%
First Blood in Game 1?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Fluxo W7M and FURIA Esports meet in a CBLOL regular-season best-of-three, with the market currently priced at 0% YES for Fluxo W7M. That number sits against a head-to-head record that has generally favoured FURIA: one recent database shows FURIA 3-0 across the last three meetings, while another lists FURIA 5-2 overall, although Fluxo W7M did take the latest reported series 2-0 on 18 April 2026.[7][9][2] The broader form picture also leans FURIA, with Strafe ranking FURIA around #91 and Fluxo W7M around #177, and both sides described as winning only one of their last five matches.[9]

For traders, the main catalysts are lineup confirmation, same-day schedule integrity, and whether either side is forced into a substitute or role change before lock. The current match listing shows the fixture as live/scheduled, which reduces cancellation risk but does not remove it entirely if the event page changes or the series is postponed.[1][9] Any late roster announcement matters because this matchup has already shown variance: Fluxo W7M’s April upset demonstrates that recent head-to-head form is not one-way, but the longer sample still points to FURIA as the steadier side.[2][7][12]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LoL: Fluxo W7M vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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