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LoL: Guinea Pink vs Kawaii Kiwis (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs

"LoL: Guinea Pink vs Kawaii Kiwis (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Game 2 Winner 100% Game 4 Winner 100% O/U 3.5 Games 100% O/U 4.5 Games 100% Volume: $385K Liquidity: $46K Closes: 24 Sept 2026
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LoL: Guinea Pink vs Kawaii Kiwis (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
Game 4 Winner100%
O/U 3.5 Games100%
O/U 4.5 Games100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Any Player Quadra Kill100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Any Player Quadra Kill100%
Any Player Penta Kill100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor91%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon91%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Game Handicap: KWK (-1.5) vs Guinea Pink (+1.5)10%
Game Handicap: KWK (-2.5) vs Guinea Pink (+2.5)10%
Odd/Even Total Kills1%
Odd/Even Total Kills1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 3 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for LoL: Guinea Pink vs Kawaii Kiwis (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Round 2 match between Guinea Pink and Kawaii Kiwis in the LES Promotion Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LoL: Guinea Pink vs Kawaii Kiwis (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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