Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 0% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% |
Market context
Karmine Corp Blue and Ici Japon Corp. Esport are set for a single-game LFL regular-season meeting, with the market currently pricing Karmine Corp Blue at 0% despite the fixture carrying a live historical rivalry. The most recent head-to-heads point both ways: Karmine Corp Blue beat Ici Japon Corp. 2-0 in the LFL Spring 2026 play-offs, but Ici Japon Corp. took the regular-season BO1 on 17 April 2026, and the broader series record in the available results is close enough to make any one-map swing meaningful in a BO1 format.[3][4][5][9][10]
That backdrop matters because recent form has been mixed rather than one-sided. Karmine Corp Blue’s last five listed results around that period included wins over Galions, ZYB Esport and Vitality.Bee, but also a loss to Solary, while Ici Japon Corp. came into the April meeting off a win over Esprit Shonen and later showed they could still take a map off Karmine in regular-season play.[7] For traders, the main catalysts are lineup confirmation and whether the match is actually played on the scheduled day: one listing puts the start at 16:00 EDT, while other match pages place it at 19:00 UTC, so broadcast scheduling and official game-day confirmation matter for a BO1 that settles only on an actual result.[1][11][12]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO… on World Cup 2026 Favorites
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