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LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season

How the prediction market is pricing "LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Match Winner 0% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 0% Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors 0% Volume: $228K Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Match Winner0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Odd/Even Total Kills0%

Market context

Karmine Corp Blue and Ici Japon Corp. Esport are set for a single-game LFL regular-season meeting, with the market currently pricing Karmine Corp Blue at 0% despite the fixture carrying a live historical rivalry. The most recent head-to-heads point both ways: Karmine Corp Blue beat Ici Japon Corp. 2-0 in the LFL Spring 2026 play-offs, but Ici Japon Corp. took the regular-season BO1 on 17 April 2026, and the broader series record in the available results is close enough to make any one-map swing meaningful in a BO1 format.[3][4][5][9][10]

That backdrop matters because recent form has been mixed rather than one-sided. Karmine Corp Blue’s last five listed results around that period included wins over Galions, ZYB Esport and Vitality.Bee, but also a loss to Solary, while Ici Japon Corp. came into the April meeting off a win over Esprit Shonen and later showed they could still take a map off Karmine in regular-season play.[7] For traders, the main catalysts are lineup confirmation and whether the match is actually played on the scheduled day: one listing puts the start at 16:00 EDT, while other match pages place it at 19:00 UTC, so broadcast scheduling and official game-day confirmation matter for a BO1 that settles only on an actual result.[1][11][12]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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