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LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season

How the prediction market is pricing "LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Match Winner 100% Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors 100% Odd/Even Total Kills 100% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 0% Volume: $184K Closes: 1 Jul 2026
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LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner100%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%

Market context

The underlying event is the League of Legends match between Kaufland Hangry Knights and Eintracht Spandau in the Prime League 1st Division Regular Season, which concluded today with a 1–0 victory for Hangry Knights at 18:15 UTC. This result confirms the market’s 100% YES settlement, as the prediction specifically required Hangry Knights to win the encounter.

Historically, 100% crowd-implied probabilities in lower-tier European LoL markets often reflect matches where one side has already secured a decisive win before the settlement window closes, rendering the outcome certain. Comparable cases in the Prime League Winter Split 2026 show similar patterns where pre-match odds collapsed once live results confirmed the victor, eliminating any uncertainty for traders holding positions.

Traders should monitor official Liquipedia match logs and Sheep Esports schedule updates for any post-match administrative reviews or potential disqualifications that could alter the official result. While current data from Sofascore and Liquipedia confirms the 1–0 finish, any sudden announcement regarding roster irregularities or match integrity issues could trigger a re-evaluation, though no such news has emerged as of 22:20 UTC today.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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