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LoL: Onion Team vs eSuba (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season

"LoL: Onion Team vs eSuba (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 50% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 50% Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors 50% Volume: $87K Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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LoL: Onion Team vs eSuba (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Odd/Even Total Kills0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Odd/Even Total Kills0%

Market context

Onion Team and eSuba are scheduled to contest a best-of-three League of Legends match on 12 August as part of the Hitpoint Masters Regular Season, with the fixture set for 10:00 AM ET. The 0% implied probability on Onion Team victory suggests either extremely limited liquidity on this market or strong consensus backing eSuba as heavy favourites, though such extreme pricing often reflects sparse trading volume rather than certainty in lower-tier regional competitions.

Hitpoint Masters operates as a secondary European competitive ecosystem, drawing teams outside the primary LEC structure. Historical context matters here: matches at this tier experience cancellation or postponement rates materially higher than mainstream leagues, with scheduling conflicts and roster availability frequently disrupting fixture calendars. The seven-day grace period before 50-50 resolution provides meaningful protection against administrative delays, yet traders should note that forfeiture-based outcomes—where one team wins by opponent disqualification—remain possible and would settle to the winning team rather than a split.

Catalysts to monitor include official Hitpoint Masters announcements regarding team roster confirmations, which typically emerge 48 to 72 hours before match day. Recent roster changes or player unavailability in either organisation could shift competitive balance substantially. Additionally, watch for any fixture rescheduling notices posted to the Hitpoint Masters official channels, as these competitions frequently adjust timings. The settlement window closes at 20:15 UTC on 12 August, providing a six-hour buffer after the scheduled 14:00 UTC start time to accommodate standard match duration and administrative processing.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LoL: Onion Team vs eSuba (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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