# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

Platform comparison

Market context

The underlying event is the first 24-hour view count for MrBeast’s next YouTube upload, a metric currently priced at zero per cent for any high strike, reflecting a sharp downturn in his recent performance. Historical data shows his newer video reached 91 million views in two weeks, a figure that still trails his 2022 peak of 193 million in eight weeks, signalling a sustained decline in long-form engagement [4]. Industry analysis attributes this drop to YouTube’s aggressive cannibalisation of long-form content by Shorts, which now command 200 billion daily views, distributing attention more thinly across creators and reducing per-video reach for even top channels like MrBeast [1].

Traders must monitor the exact release date of MrBeast’s next video, as the market resolves only if the upload occurs before 30 July 2026, 11:59 PM ET; failure to post triggers automatic settlement to the lowest bracket [1]. Key catalysts include any official announcement from MrBeast’s team regarding upcoming content, as well as shifts in YouTube’s algorithm that prioritise viewer sentiment over watch time, a change already documented to suppress long-form views [1]. Recent channel analytics show daily views hovering around 503 million as of mid-June 2026, with a 152 million day-on-day change, indicating volatile but declining momentum that supports the current zero per cent strike probability [5].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for # of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.