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Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Football snapshot for "Venezuela leader end of 2026?" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Nicolás Maduro 80% Delcy Rodríguez 12% María Corina Machado 4% Jorge Rodríguez 1% Volume: $92.0M Liquidity: $2.0M Closes: 31 Dec 2026
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Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
80% 20% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
80% 20% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Nicolás Maduro80%
Delcy Rodríguez12%
María Corina Machado4%
Jorge Rodríguez1%
No Head of State1%
Edmundo González1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón0%
Dinorah Figuera0%
Vladimir Padrino López0%
Evan Pettus0%
Dan Caine0%
Leader 20%
Leader 40%
Leader 60%
Leader 80%
Leader 100%
Leader 120%
Leader 140%
Leader 160%
Leader 180%
Leader 200%
Leader 220%
Leader 240%
Leader 260%
Leader 280%
Leader 300%
Leader 320%
Leader 340%
Leader 360%
Leader 380%
Leader 400%
Donald Trump0%
Marco Rubio0%
Pete Hegseth0%
Frank Donovan0%
Richard Grenell0%
Leader 10%
Leader 30%
Leader 50%
Leader 70%
Leader 90%
Leader 110%
Leader 130%
Leader 150%
Leader 170%
Leader 190%
Leader 210%
Leader 230%
Leader 250%
Leader 270%
Leader 290%
Leader 310%
Leader 330%
Leader 350%
Leader 370%
Leader 390%
Other0%

Market context

Market consensus: 80% chance of venezuela leader end of 2026?. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "offic…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Venezuela leader end of 2026?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
and

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