Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
48% | 52% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
48% | 52% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Taylor Pendrith | 48% |
| Christiaan Bezuidenhout | 46% |
| Blades Brown | 43% |
| Stephan Jaeger | 43% |
| Benjamin James | 42% |
| Rico Hoey | 41% |
| Mackenzie Hughes | 38% |
| Beau Hossler | 37% |
| Ze-Cheng Dou | 37% |
| Kevin Yu | 35% |
| Max McGreevy | 34% |
| Zach Bauchou | 33% |
| Taylor Moore | 33% |
| Ugo Coussaud | 32% |
| Alejandro Del Rey | 31% |
| Austin Eckroat | 31% |
| Kevin Roy | 31% |
| Chan Kim | 28% |
| Kristoffer Ventura | 28% |
| Patrick Fishburn | 28% |
| Jacob Skov Olesen | 27% |
| Garrick Higgo | 27% |
| Jorge Campillo | 26% |
| Chad Ramey | 25% |
| Thomas Rosenmuller | 25% |
| Lanto Griffin | 25% |
| Brice Garnett | 25% |
| Vince Whaley | 25% |
| Pontus Nyholm | 25% |
| Seamus Power | 24% |
| A.J. Ewart | 24% |
| Joel Dahmen | 23% |
| Manuel Elvira | 22% |
| Carson Young | 21% |
| Romain Langasque | 21% |
| David Skinns | 21% |
| Niklas Norgaard Moller | 20% |
| Paul Waring | 20% |
| Hayden Springer | 20% |
| Tom Vaillant | 19% |
| Todd Clements | 19% |
| Jimmy Stanger | 19% |
| Brandt Snedeker | 18% |
| Adam Hadwin | 18% |
| Danny Willett | 18% |
| Maximilian Steinlechner | 18% |
| Benjamin Silverman | 17% |
| Adam Svensson | 17% |
| Alejandro Tosti | 17% |
| Ricardo Gouveia | 17% |
| Davis Bryant | 17% |
| Dylan Frittelli | 17% |
| Davis Chatfield | 16% |
| Jeremy Paul | 16% |
| Marcus Kinhult | 16% |
| Christo Lamprecht | 16% |
| Dylan Wu | 15% |
| Tyler Duncan | 15% |
| Chandler Blanchet | 15% |
| Nicolai Von Dellingshausen | 15% |
| Takumi Kanaya | 14% |
| Trace Crowe | 14% |
| S.Y. Noh | 14% |
| Aaron Wise | 14% |
| Luke Clanton | 14% |
| Thriston Lawrence | 14% |
| Brandon Stone | 14% |
| David Ravetto | 14% |
| Brandon Robinson-Thompson | 14% |
| Harry Higgs | 14% |
| Paul Peterson | 14% |
| Nick Hardy | 14% |
| Taylor Montgomery | 14% |
| Yuto Katsuragawa | 14% |
| Danny Walker | 14% |
| Cameron Champ | 13% |
| Kensei Hirata | 13% |
| Nick Dunlap | 13% |
| Rafael Cabrera Bello | 13% |
| Joel Girrbach | 13% |
| Jeffrey Kang | 13% |
| Frederik Schott | 12% |
| Sean Crocker | 12% |
| Fabian Gomez | 12% |
| Justin Lower | 12% |
| Henry Lebioda | 12% |
| Jens Dantorp | 12% |
| Nacho Elvira | 11% |
| Kiradech Aphibarnrat | 11% |
| Ben Martin | 11% |
| John Vanderlaan | 11% |
| Marcel Schneider | 11% |
| Marcus Helligkilde | 11% |
| Peter Malnati | 11% |
| Luke List | 11% |
| Rikuya Hoshino | 9% |
| Jonathan Byrd | 8% |
| Richie Ramsay | 7% |
| Emiliano Grillo | 1% |
| Mark Hubbard | 1% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 48% probability to pga tour: corales puntacana championship top 20. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If fin…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for PGA Tour: Corales Puntacana Championship Top 20. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade PGA Tour: Corales Puntacana Championship Top 20 on World Cup 2026 Favorites
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