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2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

"2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Jannik Sinner 56% Carlos Alcaraz 16% Alexander Zverev 8% Novak Djokovic 5% Volume: $3.0M Liquidity: $819K Closes: 13 Sept 2026
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2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
56% 44% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
56% 44% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Jannik Sinner56%
Carlos Alcaraz16%
Alexander Zverev8%
Novak Djokovic5%
Ben Shelton2%
Taylor Fritz2%
Daniil Medvedev2%
Jack Draper1%
Joao Fonseca1%
Felix Auger Aliassime1%
Jakub Mensik1%
Alexander Bublik1%
Lorenzo Musetti1%
Arthur Fils1%
Jiri Lehecka1%
Flavio Cobolli1%
Matteo Berrettini1%
Andrey Rublev1%
Frances Tiafoe1%
Holger Rune0%
Hubert Hurkacz0%
Grigor Dimitrov0%
Other0%
Player A0%
Player B0%
Player C0%
Player D0%
Player E0%
Player F0%
Player G0%
Player H0%
Player I0%
Player J0%
Player K0%
Player L0%
Player M0%
Player N0%
Player O0%
Player P0%
Player Q0%
Player R0%
Player S0%
Player T0%
Player U0%
Player V0%
Player W0%
Player X0%
Player Y0%
Player Z0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 56% probability to 2026 men’s us open winner (tennis). The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
and

Trade 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) on World Cup 2026 Favorites

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Related Topics

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