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Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen

How the prediction market is pricing "Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Completed Match 100% Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Match O/U 21.5 100% Volume: $211K Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Match O/U 21.5100%
Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen0%
Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 Winner0%
Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 Winner0%
Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Match O/U 22.50%
Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of newport: liam broady vs alex michelsen. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Broady and Alex Michelsen in the Newport, originally scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Li…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
and

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