🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogTrade this market →

Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan

How the prediction market is pricing "Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan Set 1 O/U 8.5 80% Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan 66% Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan Set 1 Winner 62% Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan Game Spread +/-2.5 56% Volume: $101K Liquidity: $100K Closes: 29 Oct 2026
Open live market →
Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
80% 20% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
80% 20% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan Set 1 O/U 8.580%
Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan66%
Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan Set 1 Winner62%
Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan Game Spread +/-2.556%
Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan Set 1 O/U 9.553%
Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan Match O/U 21.552%
Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan Set 2 Winner50%
Completed Match49%
Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan Match O/U 23.549%
Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan Set 2 O/U 8.548%
Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan Set 2 O/U 9.548%
Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan Set 2 O/U 10.548%
Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan Set Handicap +/-1.545%
Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan Match O/U 22.544%
Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan Total Sets: O/U 2.535%
Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan Set 1 O/U 10.528%
Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan Set Handicap +/-1.521%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, guangzhou 2: liam broady vs akira santillan stands at 80% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Broady and Akira Santillan in the Guangzhou 2, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolv…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
and

Trade Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan on World Cup 2026 Favorites

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets