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Liege: Florian Broska vs Lorenzo Giustino

How the prediction market is pricing "Liege: Florian Broska vs Lorenzo Giustino" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Liege: Florian Broska vs Lorenzo Giustino 100% Completed Match 100% Liege: Florian Broska vs Lorenzo Giustino Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Liege: Florian Broska vs Lorenzo Giustino Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $350K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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Liege: Florian Broska vs Lorenzo Giustino

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Liege: Florian Broska vs Lorenzo Giustino100%
Completed Match100%
Liege: Florian Broska vs Lorenzo Giustino Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Liege: Florian Broska vs Lorenzo Giustino Set 2 Winner100%
Liege: Florian Broska vs Lorenzo Giustino Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Liege: Florian Broska vs Lorenzo Giustino Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Liege: Florian Broska vs Lorenzo Giustino Match O/U 21.5100%
Liege: Florian Broska vs Lorenzo Giustino Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Liege: Florian Broska vs Lorenzo Giustino Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Liege: Florian Broska vs Lorenzo Giustino Match O/U 22.5100%
Liege: Florian Broska vs Lorenzo Giustino Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Liege: Florian Broska vs Lorenzo Giustino Match O/U 23.5100%
Liege: Florian Broska vs Lorenzo Giustino Set 1 Winner0%
Liege: Florian Broska vs Lorenzo Giustino Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Liege: Florian Broska vs Lorenzo Giustino Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Liege: Florian Broska vs Lorenzo Giustino Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Liege: Florian Broska vs Lorenzo Giustino. This market refers to the tennis match between Florian Broska and Lorenzo Giustino in the Liege, originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Florian Broska' if F…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Liege: Florian Broska vs Lorenzo Giustino. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
and

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Related Topics

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