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Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev

"Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set Handicap +/-1.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set Handicap +/-2.5 100% Completed Match 100% Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set 3 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $125K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set Handicap +/-2.5100%
Completed Match100%
Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set 3 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set 3 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set 4 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set 4 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set 4 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set 4 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev0%
Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set 3 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Total Sets: O/U 3.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Match O/U 36.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Total Sets: O/U 4.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Match O/U 38.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Match O/U 40.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set 2 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set 3 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev. This market refers to the tennis match between Marin Cilic and Daniil Medvedev in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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Related Topics

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