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Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud

How the prediction market is pricing "Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 21.5 62% Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 9.5 51% Completed Match 50% Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 8.5 50% Volume: $162K Liquidity: $95K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
62% 38% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
62% 38% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 21.562%
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 9.551%
Completed Match50%
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 8.550%
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 10.550%
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 23.550%
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Total Sets: O/U 2.542%
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 22.535%
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Set 1 Winner34%
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Set 2 Winner29%
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Set Handicap +/-1.527%
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud24%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, swiss open: jaime faria vs casper ruud stands at 62% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Jaime Faria and Casper Ruud in the Swiss Open, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jai…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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