Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Lyon Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Lyon Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Lyon Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Lyon Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Lyon Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Lyon Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Lyon Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Lyon Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Lyon Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Lyon Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Lyon Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Lyon Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Lyon Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Lyon Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Lyon Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Game Spread +/-1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of lyon open, qualification: clement tabur vs nicolai budkov kjaer. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Clement Tabur and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer in the Lyon Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Lyon Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade Lyon Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Nicolai B… on World Cup 2026 Favorites
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →