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Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini

Football snapshot for "Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 1 Winner 100% Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 2 O/U 10.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 3 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 3 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $504K Liquidity: $246K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 1 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 3 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 3 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 3 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Match O/U 38.599%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Match O/U 36.587%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Match O/U 40.575%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Total Sets: O/U 3.575%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set Handicap +/-1.573%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 4 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 4 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 4 O/U 10.550%
Completed Match50%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 4 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Total Sets: O/U 4.527%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini13%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set Handicap +/-2.55%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 2 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 3 Winner0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, wimbledon atp: stan wawrinka vs matteo berrettini stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Stan Wawrinka and Matteo Berrettini in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will reso…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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