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BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2: Qualify to LAN

How the prediction market is pricing "BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2: Qualify to LAN" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Vitality 24% Falcons 21% Spirit 21% FURIA 11% Volume: $1.0M Liquidity: $199K
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BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2: Qualify to LAN

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
24% 76% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
24% 76% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Vitality24%
Falcons21%
Spirit21%
FURIA11%
G26%
MOUZ5%
Aurora4%
FUT4%
The MongolZ3%
HEROIC3%
GamerLegion2%
Astralis2%
Liquid2%
Nemesis2%
magic1%
paiN1%
FaZe1%
M801%
Ninjas in Pyjamas1%
Alliance1%
EYEBALLERS1%
Sharks1%
FOKUS1%
100 Thieves1%
OG1%
Nemiga1%
3DMAX0%
Gentle Mates0%
Wildcard0%
SINNERS0%
Nuclear TigeRES0%
HOTU0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 24% YES probability for BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2: Qualify to LAN. This market will resolve according to the 8 teams that make BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 LAN Finals, scheduled for July 30 to August 2, 2026 at BLAST Studio in Malta. If BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 is p…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2: Qualify to LAN. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
and

Trade BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2: Qualify to LAN on World Cup 2026 Favorites

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