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Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. São Paulo FC - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. São Paulo FC - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Associação Chapecoense de Futebol O/U 0.5 99% Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 1st Half O/U 0.5 99% Volume: $99K Liquidity: $134K Closes: 23 Aug 2026
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Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. São Paulo FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol O/U 0.599%
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 1st Half O/U 0.599%
O/U 1.587%
2nd Half O/U 0.578%
São Paulo FC O/U 0.573%
Both Teams to Score72%
2nd Half O/U 1.565%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half60%
O/U 2.556%
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol O/U 1.551%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
São Paulo FC 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
São Paulo FC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
1st Half O/U 1.539%
São Paulo FC O/U 1.535%
O/U 3.530%
Both Teams to Score in First Half28%
São Paulo FC 1st Half O/U 0.528%
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (-1.5)21%
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 1st Half O/U 1.516%
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol O/U 2.515%
O/U 4.513%
São Paulo FC O/U 2.511%
São Paulo FC (-1.5)8%
1st Half O/U 2.58%
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (-2.5)6%
O/U 5.54%
São Paulo FC 1st Half O/U 1.54%
São Paulo FC (-2.5)2%

Market context

Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. São Paulo FC - More Markets — current market-implied probability: 100%. More markets for the Brazil Série A game, scheduled for August 23 at 5:30 PM ET.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. São Paulo FC - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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Related Topics

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