Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
84% | 16% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
84% | 16% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 36.5 | 84% |
| Spread -2.5 | 81% |
| O/U 30.5 | 81% |
| Spread -0.5 | 79% |
| O/U 42.5 | 70% |
| Spread -1.5 | 68% |
| Spread -3.5 | 60% |
| Spread -4.5 | 57% |
| Spread -5.5 | 56% |
| O/U 48.5 | 56% |
| Spread: Georgia Tech (-6.5) | 52% |
| Georgia Tech O/U 28.5 | 52% |
| Colorado O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Georgia Tech O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| Georgia Tech O/U 31.5 | 51% |
| Georgia Tech O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Georgia Tech O/U 26.5 | 51% |
| Georgia Tech O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Georgia Tech O/U 35.5 | 51% |
| Colorado O/U 18.5 | 51% |
| Colorado O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| O/U 68.5 | 50% |
| O/U 70.5 | 50% |
| Colorado O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Colorado O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Colorado O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Colorado O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Colorado O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Colorado O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Colorado O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| Georgia Tech 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Tech 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Colorado 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Colorado 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Colorado 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| Spread -34.5 | 48% |
| O/U 51.5 | 47% |
| O/U 52.5 | 44% |
| Spread -7.5 | 43% |
| Spread -8.5 | 43% |
| Spread -31.5 | 42% |
| O/U 54.5 | 39% |
| Spread -10.5 | 38% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 35% |
| Colorado vs. Georgia Tech | 33% |
| Spread -13.5 | 33% |
| 2H Moneyline | 32% |
| Spread -14.5 | 28% |
| O/U 60.5 | 26% |
| Spread -20.5 | 16% |
| Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| O/U 66.5 | 13% |
| Spread -21.5 | 9% |
| Spread -24.5 | 7% |
| Spread -27.5 | 6% |
Market context
Colorado vs. Georgia Tech. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 33% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-04T00:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $69K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Colorado vs. Georgia Tech. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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