Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
85% | 15% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
85% | 15% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 85% |
| Liberty O/U 20.5 | 82% |
| O/U 37.5 | 80% |
| Liberty vs. Kennesaw State | 78% |
| Spread -0.5 | 78% |
| O/U 39.5 | 78% |
| Spread -1.5 | 75% |
| Spread -2.5 | 74% |
| Liberty O/U 23.5 | 74% |
| O/U 41.5 | 72% |
| 1H Moneyline | 72% |
| Spread -3.5 | 68% |
| O/U 43.5 | 68% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 67% |
| Spread -4.5 | 65% |
| Liberty O/U 26.5 | 65% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 64% |
| Spread -5.5 | 63% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 63% |
| O/U 45.5 | 61% |
| Spread -6.5 | 60% |
| O/U 47.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 57% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 56% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 56% |
| Liberty 1H O/U 13.5 | 55% |
| Spread -7.5 | 54% |
| Liberty 2H O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 54% |
| O/U 49.5 | 53% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 53% |
| Liberty O/U 29.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 52% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Liberty 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Liberty 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Liberty 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Liberty 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Liberty vs. Kennesaw State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Liberty 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Liberty 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Liberty vs. Kennesaw State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Liberty vs. Kennesaw State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 48% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| Spread -10.5 | 46% |
| O/U 51.5 | 46% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 45% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 45% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 45% |
| Liberty O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 45% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 44% |
| Kennesaw State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 44% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 44% |
| Spread -13.5 | 43% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 43% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 42% |
| Liberty O/U 32.5 | 42% |
| Kennesaw State O/U 2.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 41% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 41% |
| Liberty vs. Kennesaw State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 41% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| O/U 53.5 | 40% |
| Kennesaw State 1H O/U 16.5 | 40% |
| Liberty vs. Kennesaw State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 39% |
| Spread -14.5 | 38% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 38% |
| Liberty vs. Kennesaw State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 38% |
| O/U 55.5 | 36% |
| Kennesaw State O/U 23.5 | 36% |
| Spread -16.5 | 35% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 34% |
| Spread -17.5 | 33% |
| O/U 57.5 | 33% |
| Spread -20.5 | 27% |
| Kennesaw State O/U 26.5 | 27% |
| O/U 59.5 | 26% |
| O/U 61.5 | 23% |
| Spread -0.5 | 22% |
| Spread -1.5 | 22% |
| Spread -2.5 | 21% |
| Kennesaw State O/U 35.5 | 21% |
| O/U 63.5 | 20% |
| Kennesaw State O/U 29.5 | 19% |
| Spread -3.5 | 17% |
| O/U 65.5 | 16% |
| Spread -4.5 | 15% |
| Spread -5.5 | 14% |
| O/U 67.5 | 14% |
| Spread -6.5 | 13% |
| Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| O/U 69.5 | 10% |
| O/U 71.5 | 9% |
| Kennesaw State O/U 32.5 | 9% |
| Spread -8.5 | 7% |
| O/U 73.5 | 7% |
| Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| O/U 75.5 | 6% |
| Spread -13.5 | 4% |
| Spread -14.5 | 3% |
Market context
Market consensus: 85% chance of liberty vs. kennesaw state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Liberty and Kennesaw State, scheduled for October 22 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Liberty" if Liberty win the game. This…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $68K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Liberty vs. Kennesaw State. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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