Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 87% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 76% |
| O/U 37.5 | 73% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 73% |
| O/U 39.5 | 71% |
| 2H Moneyline | 71% |
| Spread -0.5 | 67% |
| Northwestern O/U 20.5 | 63% |
| O/U 41.5 | 59% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 59% |
| Northwestern vs. Michigan State | 56% |
| O/U 43.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| Michigan State 1H O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 53% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| Michigan State 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Northwestern Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Northwestern vs. Michigan State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern vs. Michigan State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Northwestern vs. Michigan State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern vs. Michigan State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern vs. Michigan State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern vs. Michigan State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| O/U 45.5 | 49% |
| Northwestern O/U 23.5 | 49% |
| Michigan State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Northwestern 1H O/U 11.5 | 47% |
| Northwestern 1H O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Northwestern 1H O/U 15.5 | 47% |
| Michigan State 1H O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Michigan State 1H O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| O/U 47.5 | 38% |
| Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| O/U 49.5 | 33% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 33% |
| O/U 55.5 | 32% |
| Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| O/U 57.5 | 31% |
| Michigan State O/U 23.5 | 31% |
| Spread -5.5 | 29% |
| Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| O/U 61.5 | 28% |
| O/U 63.5 | 28% |
| O/U 67.5 | 27% |
| Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| O/U 51.5 | 26% |
| O/U 69.5 | 26% |
| O/U 73.5 | 26% |
| O/U 75.5 | 26% |
| Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 25% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 25% |
| 1H Moneyline | 24% |
| Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 22% |
| Spread -5.5 | 21% |
| O/U 53.5 | 21% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 20% |
| Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| Spread -8.5 | 18% |
| Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 12% |
| Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| O/U 59.5 | 9% |
| Spread -13.5 | 7% |
| Spread -13.5 | 7% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| O/U 65.5 | 5% |
| Spread -17.5 | 4% |
| O/U 71.5 | 4% |
| Spread -20.5 | 3% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of northwestern vs. michigan state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Northwestern and Michigan State, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Northwestern" if Northwestern wi…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $332K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Northwestern vs. Michigan State. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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