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Oregon State vs. Houston

How the prediction market is pricing "Oregon State vs. Houston" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

1H Spread -9.5 100% 1H Spread -10.5 100% 1H Spread -11.5 100% 2Q Spread -4.5 100% Volume: $104K Liquidity: $267K Closes: 5 Sept 2026
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Oregon State vs. Houston

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1H Spread -9.5100%
1H Spread -10.5100%
1H Spread -11.5100%
2Q Spread -4.5100%
2Q Spread -5.5100%
2Q Spread -6.5100%
2Q Spread -7.5100%
2Q Spread -8.5100%
Houston 1H O/U 16.5100%
Houston 1H O/U 18.5100%
Houston 1H O/U 17.5100%
O/U 30.592%
Spread -5.591%
O/U 36.591%
Spread -3.588%
Spread -6.588%
Spread -1.587%
Spread -7.587%
Spread -2.586%
Spread -10.581%
O/U 32.578%
O/U 42.577%
Spread -4.575%
Spread -13.573%
Spread -14.570%
Spread -16.564%
Spread -17.563%
Spread: Houston (-20.5)57%
O/U 48.557%
O/U 49.554%
Spread -21.552%
2H Spread -10.552%
2H Spread -9.551%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -31.550%
Spread -34.550%
O/U 34.550%
O/U 38.550%
O/U 40.550%
O/U 44.550%
O/U 46.550%
O/U 56.550%
O/U 58.550%
O/U 62.550%
O/U 64.550%
O/U 68.550%
O/U 70.550%
2H Moneyline50%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
Houston O/U 28.550%
Houston O/U 31.550%
Houston O/U 34.550%
Houston O/U 37.550%
Houston O/U 40.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
2H Spread -8.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -4.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -6.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -4.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
Oregon State O/U 8.550%
Oregon State O/U 11.550%
Oregon State O/U 14.550%
Oregon State O/U 17.550%
Oregon State O/U 20.550%
Oregon State 1H O/U 4.550%
Oregon State 1H O/U 6.550%
Houston 2H O/U 12.550%
Houston 2H O/U 14.550%
Houston 2H O/U 16.550%
Oregon State 2H O/U 4.550%
Oregon State 2H O/U 6.550%
Oregon State 2H O/U 8.550%
Oregon State O/U 7.550%
Oregon State O/U 10.550%
Oregon State O/U 13.550%
Oregon State O/U 16.550%
Oregon State O/U 19.550%
Houston O/U 29.550%
Houston O/U 32.550%
Houston O/U 35.550%
Houston O/U 38.550%
Houston O/U 41.550%
Oregon State 2H O/U 5.550%
Oregon State 2H O/U 7.550%
Oregon State 2H O/U 9.550%
Houston O/U 30.550%
Houston O/U 33.550%
Houston O/U 36.550%
Houston O/U 39.550%
Houston O/U 42.550%
Oregon State 1H O/U 5.550%
Houston 2H O/U 13.550%
Houston 2H O/U 15.550%
Houston 2H O/U 17.550%
Oregon State O/U 1.550%
Houston O/U 4.550%
Conner Weigman: Anytime Touchdown50%
Makhi Hughes: Anytime Touchdown50%
Amare Thomas: Anytime Touchdown50%
Re'Shaun Sanford II: Anytime Touchdown50%
Cornell Hatcher Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Trent Walker: Anytime Touchdown50%
AJ Newberry: Anytime Touchdown50%
Patrick Overmyer: Anytime Touchdown50%
Koby Young: Anytime Touchdown50%
Eddie Freauff: Anytime Touchdown50%
Braden Atkinson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Aeryn Hampton: Anytime Touchdown50%
Aaron Butler: Anytime Touchdown50%
Eric Olsen: Anytime Touchdown50%
Muizz Tounkara: Anytime Touchdown50%
Xavyion Noland: Anytime Touchdown50%
DeCorion Temple: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jesse Legree: Anytime Touchdown50%
Harvey Broussard: Anytime Touchdown50%
Luke McGary: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tyson Turner: Anytime Touchdown50%
3Q Spread -7.550%
4Q Spread -6.550%
2H Spread -11.550%
O/U 50.549%
2H Spread -6.549%
O/U 51.548%
O/U 52.546%
Spread -24.544%
O/U 54.532%
Spread -27.524%
O/U 60.518%
O/U 66.57%
Oregon State vs. Houston3%
1H Spread -12.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -8.50%
1Q Moneyline0%
2Q Moneyline0%
Houston 1H O/U 20.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
Houston 1H O/U 19.50%
Houston 1H O/U 21.50%
Oregon State 1H O/U 8.50%
Houston 1H O/U 22.50%
Oregon State 1H O/U 7.50%
Oregon State 1H O/U 9.50%

Market context

Oregon State vs. Houston. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 3% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-05T16:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1H Spread -9.5 at 100% for "Oregon State vs. Houston".

1H Spread -9.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $104K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Oregon State vs. Houston. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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