Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
89% | 11% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
89% | 11% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 39.5 | 89% |
| O/U 37.5 | 88% |
| Oregon State vs. UTEP | 80% |
| O/U 43.5 | 80% |
| O/U 45.5 | 80% |
| Spread -1.5 | 77% |
| Spread -2.5 | 76% |
| 1H Moneyline | 74% |
| Oregon State O/U 27.5 | 70% |
| Spread -3.5 | 69% |
| Spread -4.5 | 68% |
| Spread -5.5 | 67% |
| Spread -6.5 | 65% |
| O/U 49.5 | 65% |
| Oregon State O/U 30.5 | 61% |
| O/U 51.5 | 60% |
| Spread -7.5 | 58% |
| Spread -8.5 | 57% |
| O/U 53.5 | 57% |
| Spread -9.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| UTEP O/U 20.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 55% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 54% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| Oregon State O/U 33.5 | 53% |
| Spread -10.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 52% |
| O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| O/U 55.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| UTEP O/U 26.5 | 51% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| O/U 71.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| UTEP O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| UTEP O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UTEP 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| UTEP 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| UTEP 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| UTEP 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| UTEP 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| UTEP O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Oregon State vs. UTEP: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State vs. UTEP: Total Touchdowns O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State vs. UTEP: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UTEP Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UTEP Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UTEP Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| UTEP Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| UTEP Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| UTEP Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| UTEP Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| UTEP Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| UTEP Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| UTEP Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| UTEP Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| UTEP Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UTEP 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UTEP 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UTEP Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UTEP Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UTEP Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UTEP Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| UTEP Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UTEP Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| UTEP Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UTEP Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| UTEP Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State vs. UTEP: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State vs. UTEP: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State vs. UTEP: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 48% |
| Spread -13.5 | 46% |
| O/U 57.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 44% |
| UTEP O/U 23.5 | 44% |
| UTEP 1H O/U 10.5 | 43% |
| O/U 59.5 | 42% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 42% |
| Spread -14.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 39% |
| Spread -18.5 | 38% |
| Spread -16.5 | 38% |
| O/U 61.5 | 36% |
| Spread -17.5 | 35% |
| Spread -20.5 | 30% |
| Spread -23.5 | 24% |
| O/U 67.5 | 24% |
| Spread -24.5 | 21% |
| Spread -0.5 | 20% |
| Spread -27.5 | 16% |
| Spread -3.5 | 16% |
| Spread -4.5 | 14% |
| O/U 73.5 | 14% |
| Spread -30.5 | 11% |
| Spread -6.5 | 11% |
| Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| Spread -10.5 | 6% |
Market context
Market consensus: 89% chance of oregon state vs. utep. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Oregon State and UTEP, scheduled for September 26 at 9:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Oregon State" if Oregon State win the gam…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $82K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Oregon State vs. UTEP. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2026%20A%2022%2028%200%200%201%2054%2026%22%20fill%3D%22%23fbbf24%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2018%20Q%2016%204%2026%2010%20Q%2020%202%2032%206%20Q%2044%202%2038%2010%20Q%2048%204%2054%2018%22%20stroke%3D%22%23fbbf24%22%20stroke-width%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22none%22%20stroke-linecap%3D%22round%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Oregon State vs. UTEP on World Cup 2026 Favorites
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →