Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs Sunrisers Leeds | 100% |
| The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs Sunrisers Leeds - Completed match? | 53% |
| The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs Sunrisers Leeds - Who wins the toss? | 0% |
Market context
Trent Rockets Women are at home to Sunrisers Leeds Women at Trent Bridge, with the live market already pricing a result as a near-certainty. The form and table context do support Trent Rockets as the stronger side: ESPN’s tournament data has them on 12 points from four matches with a superior net run rate, while Sunrisers Leeds are lower down on 4 points from three games.[2][18] Recent head-to-heads also lean the same way, with Sunrisers Leeds winning the most recent meeting in 2025 by eight wickets, but Trent Rockets taking the 2024 fixture in Nottingham; across the last four Hundred meetings shown by ESPN, Sunrisers have three wins to Trent Rockets’ one.[2][10] That mixed record matters because this pairing has not been one-sided even when one side has looked stronger on paper.[2][12]
The main trading catalysts are team news and the toss. BBC’s live coverage confirmed Sunrisers Leeds won the toss and chose to field, which immediately improves their chase prospects if conditions remain true to the Trent Bridge surface.[3] Sunrisers also began the tournament with an injury scare for Kate Cross, who hurt her shoulder in the opener and needed a scan, so any late update on her availability or bowling workload is material.[11] With the match already underway and the official result to come from ESPNcricinfo, traders should watch for rain interruptions, DLS adjustments, or any late lineup changes, but the current crowd line of 100% YES implies the market is treating Trent Rockets’ home advantage and better recent record as decisive.[2][3]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $116K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs Sunrisers Leeds. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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