🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogTrade this market →

Counter-Strike: Nice Try vs aimclub (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "Counter-Strike: Nice Try vs aimclub (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6: Closed Qualifier Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Match Winner 86% Map 2 Winner 65% Volume: $90K Liquidity: $154K Closes: 20 Oct 2026
Open live market →
Counter-Strike: Nice Try vs aimclub (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Match Winner86%
Map 2 Winner65%
Map Handicap: Nice Try (-1.5) vs aimclub (+1.5)59%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nice Try (-3.5) vs aimclub (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nice Try (-6.5) vs aimclub (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nice Try (-9.5) vs aimclub (+9.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
O/U 2.5 Games37%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: aimclub (-6.5) vs Nice Try (+6.5)7%
Map Handicap: AIMC (-1.5) vs Nice Try (+1.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: aimclub (-3.5) vs Nice Try (+3.5)0%

Market context

The Counter-Strike: Nice Try vs aimclub (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6: Closed Qualifier Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Nice Try and aimclub in the Stake Ranked Episode 6: Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET. T…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: Nice Try vs aimclub (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6: Closed Qualifier Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: Nice Try vs aimclub (BO3) - Stake Ra… on World Cup 2026 Favorites

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →