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Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

Football snapshot for "Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5) 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Wildcard (+3.5) 100% Volume: $413K Liquidity: $855K Closes: 15 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Wildcard (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Wildcard (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-6.5) vs Wildcard (+6.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: WC (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Wildcard (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-6.5) vs Wildcard (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Wildcard (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Wildcard (-6.5) vs Gentle Mates (+6.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: wildcard vs gentle mates (bo3) - stake ranked episode 3 playoffs stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinals 3 match between Wildcard and Gentle Mates in the Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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