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Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Team AION (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

How the prediction market is pricing "Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Team AION (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Team AION (+1.5) 100% Volume: $116K Liquidity: $504K Closes: 25 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Team AION (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Team AION (+1.5)100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Both Teams Beat Roshan1%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Game Handicap: Team AION (-1.5) vs Ilbirs eSports (+1.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Team AION (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Ilbirs eSports and Team AION in the EPL Masters Play-In Group B, initially scheduled for July 25 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ilbirs eSpor…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Team AION (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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