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Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D

Football snapshot for "Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Ends in Daytime 90% Ends in Daytime 90% Both Teams Beat Roshan 90% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 90% Volume: $1.3M Liquidity: $903K Closes: 10 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ends in Daytime90%
Ends in Daytime90%
Both Teams Beat Roshan90%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?51%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
First Blood in Game 2?10%
First Blood in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 2?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%

Market context

The Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D prediction market currently prices this outcome at 90% YES. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between LGD Gaming and 1win in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 9 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gami…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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