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Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Round

How the prediction market is pricing "Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Round" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Ends in Daytime 56% Ends in Daytime 51% Ends in Daytime 51% Any Player Ultra Kill 51% Volume: $83K Liquidity: $719K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Round

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
56% 44% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
56% 44% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ends in Daytime56%
Ends in Daytime51%
Ends in Daytime51%
Any Player Ultra Kill51%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 1?49%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?49%
O/U 2.5 Games44%
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)44%
Both Teams Beat Roshan36%
Both Teams Beat Roshan36%
Both Teams Beat Roshan36%
Game 1 Winner35%
Game 2 Winner35%
Any Player Ultra Kill33%
Any Player Ultra Kill33%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks29%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks29%
Match Winner28%
Any Player Rampage28%
Any Player Rampage28%

Market context

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Round — current market-implied probability: 56%. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between LGD Gaming and Team Yandex in the The International Elimination Round, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve t…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Round. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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