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Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City - More Markets

"Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City - More Markets" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

O/U 0.5 94% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 84% O/U 1.5 76% Manchester City O/U 0.5 76% Volume: $242K Liquidity: $304K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
94% 6% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
94% 6% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.594%
2nd Half O/U 0.584%
O/U 1.576%
Manchester City O/U 0.576%
Arsenal FC O/U 0.575%
1st Half O/U 0.570%
Both Teams to Score56%
Manchester City 2nd Half O/U 0.555%
Arsenal FC 2nd Half O/U 0.554%
O/U 2.551%
Manchester City 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Manchester City 1st Half O/U 0.545%
Arsenal FC 2nd Half O/U 1.545%
Arsenal FC 1st Half O/U 0.544%
2nd Half O/U 1.544%
Manchester City O/U 1.540%
Arsenal FC O/U 1.539%
1st Half O/U 1.533%
O/U 3.528%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half28%
Arsenal FC 1st Half O/U 1.522%
Both Teams to Score in First Half20%
2nd Half O/U 2.519%
Manchester City (-1.5)16%
Manchester City O/U 2.516%
Arsenal FC (-1.5)15%
Arsenal FC O/U 2.515%
O/U 4.514%
1st Half O/U 2.512%
Manchester City 1st Half O/U 1.512%
Arsenal FC (-2.5)6%
Manchester City (-2.5)6%
O/U 5.56%

Market context

Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City - More Markets — current market-implied probability: 94%. More markets for the FA Community Shield game, scheduled for August 16 at 10:00 AM ET.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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