Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Breel Embolo: 1+ goals | 100% |
| Dan Ndoye: 1+ goals | 100% |
| Breel Embolo: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Dan Ndoye: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Johan Manzambi: 1+ assists | 100% |
| Breel Embolo: 1+ goals + assists | 100% |
| Dan Ndoye: 1+ goals + assists | 100% |
| Johan Manzambi: 1+ goals + assists | 100% |
| Breel Embolo: 2+ shots | 99% |
| Breel Embolo: 1+ shots on target | 92% |
| Dan Ndoye: 1+ shots on target | 91% |
| Gregor Kobel: 2+ saves | 77% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 1+ shots | 53% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 1+ shots | 52% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 2+ shots | 51% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 3+ shots | 51% |
| Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 1+ shots | 51% |
| Noah Okafor: 1+ shots | 51% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 1+ shots | 51% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 1+ shots on target | 51% |
| Luca Zidane: 2+ saves | 51% |
| Amine Gouiri: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Anis Hadj Moussa: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Breel Embolo: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Dan Ndoye: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Johan Manzambi: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Johan Manzambi: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Adil Boulbina: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Adil Boulbina: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Amine Gouiri: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Breel Embolo: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Dan Ndoye: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Dan Ndoye: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Johan Manzambi: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Johan Manzambi: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Noah Okafor: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ruben Vargas: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Anis Hadj Moussa: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Gregor Kobel: 3+ saves | 50% |
| Gregor Kobel: 5+ saves | 50% |
| Luca Zidane: 3+ saves | 50% |
| Luca Zidane: 4+ saves | 50% |
| Amine Gouiri: 1+ shots | 47% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 3+ shots | 47% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 2+ shots | 26% |
| Gregor Kobel: 4+ saves | 25% |
| Luca Zidane: 5+ saves | 25% |
| Adil Boulbina: 1+ shots | 24% |
| Dan Ndoye: 3+ shots | 24% |
| Noah Okafor: 2+ shots | 24% |
| Ruben Vargas: 1+ shots | 24% |
| Adil Boulbina: 3+ goals | 10% |
| Anis Hadj Moussa: 1+ goals | 10% |
| Anis Hadj Moussa: 2+ goals | 10% |
| Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 2+ goals | 10% |
| Nadhir Benbouali: 3+ goals | 10% |
| Noah Okafor: 1+ goals | 10% |
| Noah Okafor: 3+ goals | 10% |
| Adil Boulbina: 2+ shots | 10% |
| Adil Boulbina: 4+ shots | 10% |
| Adil Boulbina: 5+ shots | 10% |
| Amine Gouiri: 4+ shots | 10% |
| Amine Gouiri: 5+ shots | 10% |
| Anis Hadj Moussa: 2+ shots | 10% |
| Anis Hadj Moussa: 3+ shots | 10% |
| Breel Embolo: 5+ shots | 10% |
| Cédric Itten: 1+ shots | 10% |
| Cédric Itten: 2+ shots | 10% |
| Cédric Itten: 3+ shots | 10% |
| Cédric Itten: 4+ shots | 10% |
| Cédric Itten: 5+ shots | 10% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 2+ shots | 10% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 3+ shots | 10% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 4+ shots | 10% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 5+ shots | 10% |
| Dan Ndoye: 5+ shots | 10% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 4+ shots | 10% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 5+ shots | 10% |
| Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 5+ shots | 10% |
| Nadhir Benbouali: 2+ shots | 10% |
| Nadhir Benbouali: 4+ shots | 10% |
| Noah Okafor: 3+ shots | 10% |
| Noah Okafor: 4+ shots | 10% |
| Noah Okafor: 5+ shots | 10% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 2+ shots | 10% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 3+ shots | 10% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 4+ shots | 10% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 5+ shots | 10% |
| Amine Gouiri: 1+ assists | 10% |
| Amine Gouiri: 2+ assists | 10% |
| Breel Embolo: 2+ assists | 10% |
| Dan Ndoye: 1+ assists | 10% |
| Adil Boulbina: 3+ shots on target | 10% |
| Adil Boulbina: 4+ shots on target | 10% |
| Amine Gouiri: 2+ shots on target | 10% |
| Amine Gouiri: 3+ shots on target | 10% |
| Breel Embolo: 3+ shots on target | 10% |
| Cédric Itten: 1+ shots on target | 10% |
| Cédric Itten: 2+ shots on target | 10% |
| Cédric Itten: 3+ shots on target | 10% |
| Cédric Itten: 4+ shots on target | 10% |
| Nadhir Benbouali: 1+ shots on target | 10% |
| Noah Okafor: 2+ shots on target | 10% |
| Noah Okafor: 3+ shots on target | 10% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 3+ shots on target | 10% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 4+ shots on target | 10% |
| Amine Gouiri: 3+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Breel Embolo: 2+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 1+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 2+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 1+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 1+ shots on target | 10% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 2+ shots on target | 10% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 3+ shots on target | 10% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 3+ shots on target | 10% |
| Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 3+ shots on target | 10% |
| Nadhir Benbouali: 2+ shots on target | 10% |
| Nadhir Benbouali: 3+ shots on target | 10% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 3+ shots on target | 10% |
| Melvin Mastil: 2+ saves | 10% |
| Melvin Mastil: 3+ saves | 10% |
| Melvin Mastil: 4+ saves | 10% |
| Melvin Mastil: 5+ saves | 10% |
| Nadhir Benbouali: 1+ shots | 9% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 3+ goals | 5% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 1+ assists | 5% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 1+ shots | 1% |
| Ruben Vargas: 1+ assists | 1% |
| Adil Boulbina: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Adil Boulbina: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Amine Gouiri: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Amine Gouiri: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Amine Gouiri: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Breel Embolo: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Breel Embolo: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Cédric Itten: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Cédric Itten: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Cédric Itten: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Dan Ndoye: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Dan Ndoye: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Nadhir Benbouali: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Nadhir Benbouali: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Noah Okafor: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Ruben Vargas: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Ruben Vargas: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Ruben Vargas: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Adil Boulbina: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Amine Gouiri: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Anis Hadj Moussa: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Anis Hadj Moussa: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Breel Embolo: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Dan Ndoye: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Nadhir Benbouali: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Nadhir Benbouali: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Ruben Vargas: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Ruben Vargas: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Ruben Vargas: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Ruben Vargas: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Breel Embolo: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Dan Ndoye: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Ruben Vargas: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Breel Embolo: 4+ shots on target | 0% |
| Dan Ndoye: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Ruben Vargas: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Ruben Vargas: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Amine Gouiri: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Amine Gouiri: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Amine Gouiri: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Breel Embolo: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Breel Embolo: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Dan Ndoye: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Dan Ndoye: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Dan Ndoye: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Ruben Vargas: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Ruben Vargas: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Ruben Vargas: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Ruben Vargas: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Anis Hadj Moussa: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Anis Hadj Moussa: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
Market context
Switzerland vs. Algeria - Player Props — current market-implied probability: 100%. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Switzerland and Algeria, scheduled for July 2 at 11:00 PM ET.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Switzerland vs. Algeria - Player Props. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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