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PGA Tour: Corales Puntacana Championship Top 20

How the prediction market is pricing "PGA Tour: Corales Puntacana Championship Top 20" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Taylor Pendrith 48% Christiaan Bezuidenhout 46% Blades Brown 43% Stephan Jaeger 43% Volume: $217K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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PGA Tour: Corales Puntacana Championship Top 20

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
48% 52% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
48% 52% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Taylor Pendrith48%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout46%
Blades Brown43%
Stephan Jaeger43%
Benjamin James42%
Rico Hoey41%
Mackenzie Hughes38%
Beau Hossler37%
Ze-Cheng Dou37%
Kevin Yu35%
Max McGreevy34%
Zach Bauchou33%
Taylor Moore33%
Ugo Coussaud32%
Alejandro Del Rey31%
Austin Eckroat31%
Kevin Roy31%
Chan Kim28%
Kristoffer Ventura28%
Patrick Fishburn28%
Jacob Skov Olesen27%
Garrick Higgo27%
Chad Ramey25%
Thomas Rosenmuller25%
Lanto Griffin25%
Brice Garnett25%
Vince Whaley25%
Pontus Nyholm25%
Seamus Power24%
A.J. Ewart24%
Joel Dahmen23%
Manuel Elvira22%
Jorge Campillo21%
Carson Young21%
Romain Langasque21%
David Skinns21%
Niklas Norgaard Moller20%
Paul Waring20%
Hayden Springer20%
Tom Vaillant19%
Todd Clements19%
Jimmy Stanger19%
Brandt Snedeker18%
Adam Hadwin18%
Danny Willett18%
Maximilian Steinlechner18%
Benjamin Silverman17%
Adam Svensson17%
Alejandro Tosti17%
Ricardo Gouveia17%
Davis Bryant17%
Dylan Frittelli17%
Davis Chatfield16%
Jeremy Paul16%
Marcus Kinhult16%
Christo Lamprecht16%
Dylan Wu15%
Tyler Duncan15%
Chandler Blanchet15%
Nicolai Von Dellingshausen15%
Takumi Kanaya14%
Trace Crowe14%
S.Y. Noh14%
Aaron Wise14%
Luke Clanton14%
Thriston Lawrence14%
Brandon Stone14%
David Ravetto14%
Brandon Robinson-Thompson14%
Harry Higgs14%
Paul Peterson14%
Nick Hardy14%
Taylor Montgomery14%
Yuto Katsuragawa14%
Danny Walker14%
Cameron Champ13%
Kensei Hirata13%
Nick Dunlap13%
Rafael Cabrera Bello13%
Joel Girrbach13%
Jeffrey Kang13%
Frederik Schott12%
Sean Crocker12%
Fabian Gomez12%
Justin Lower12%
Henry Lebioda12%
Jens Dantorp12%
Nacho Elvira11%
Kiradech Aphibarnrat11%
Ben Martin11%
John Vanderlaan11%
Marcel Schneider11%
Marcus Helligkilde11%
Peter Malnati11%
Luke List11%
Rikuya Hoshino9%
Jonathan Byrd8%
Richie Ramsay7%
Emiliano Grillo1%
Mark Hubbard1%

Market context

The Corales Puntacana Championship, held annually in the Dominican Republic, sits as a mid-tier PGA Tour event typically attracting a field of 132 players competing for a US$4 million purse. The tournament's relatively modest stature means field strength fluctuates considerably year to year, with top-ranked players often prioritising majors and elevated events elsewhere on the schedule. For 2026, the event's positioning in late January creates a natural sorting mechanism: players using it as a season opener versus those already competing at higher-profile venues. Top-20 finishes at this event historically favour players ranked outside the world's elite 50, where the field depth allows mid-tier professionals genuine scoring opportunities.

Historical data from comparable PGA Tour events at this prize-money level shows top-20 finishes occur at roughly 15% frequency for players ranked 100–150 in the world, rising to 35–45% for those in the 40–80 bracket. The 46% implied probability suggests the market is pricing a player positioned somewhere in that middle tier—likely someone with recent form supporting a top-20 capability but without the consistency record of higher-ranked competitors. Recent PGA Tour suspensions, injury returns, and field confirmations typically emerge in December 2025 and January 2026, creating material information windows that could shift this line substantially depending on whether the listed player receives late-season momentum or faces scheduling conflicts with other events.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for PGA Tour: Corales Puntacana Championship Top 20. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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